With Easter almost upon us and
considering we are a quarter of the way through 2015, I was talking to landlord
from Allestree the other day about what is happening to the level of rents that
are being achieved in the Derby property market.
In terms of rents in Derby, it
appears that rents being achieved for new rentals (i.e. when the tenant moves
out and new tenant moves in) have risen by 4% in the last 12 months on top of
the range modern semis, yet remained static for older Victorian terraced houses.
However, landlords with existing tenants, irrespective of age, are not
increasing their rents, as most landlords prefer to keep their existing tenant
paying the same rent and have the peace of mind that their tenant remains,
paying the rent thus reducing the risk of a void period.
It must be remembered rents dropped
by 7.8% over 2008/9, due to oversupply in the rental market in 2009.) A lot of
the people who couldn’t sell their property in Derby in 2008/9 when the Credit
Crunch hit in 2008, decided to let their house out instead of selling at a
loss. In fact, the number of houses on the market in Derby dropped by 62.5%
between March 2008 and March 2010, a lot of which came on to the rental market
in Derby. However, looking at the longer term though, tenants have had it
good because since the turn of the
Millennium, average wages have grown by 46%, but rents outside London have only
grown by 36% rental growth over this period.
I told the landlord that there
is a lack of new rental properties in Derby coming on the market, in fact
according to the Office of National Statistics, there are only 81 new rental
properties are coming to the market each month in Derby but the population of
Derby is rising by 225 people a month – something will have to give soon! This
is compounded by the fact a number of landlords are looking to sell their
rental properties in the coming months, as the property market in Derby has
improved. This further compounded as tenants in existing rental properties
appear to be staying in properties for longer periods of time.
Looking at the rents charged
in Derby, historic evidence in the UK suggests private market rents have moved
in line with general inflation. Government figures only go back as far as the
year 2000, but looking at other countries with similar housing markets (America,
Australia, Ireland and Holland) the fact is rents paid by tenants tend to rise
in line or just ahead of inflation.
As short term wage growth in
Derby has eased off recently, rising by only 1.3% in the last 12 months, taking
average salaries in Derby to £26,241p.a, with the tax breaks announced by The
Chancellor in the Budget, I believe, even though rents have kept pace with
inflation in the past, renting as an option has become more affordable, and is
increasingly seen as a lifestyle choice. With returning economic growth and
expected increases in the rate of growth of wages, above inflation rental
growth could rise.
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