At the time of the last census
in 2011, there are 3,401,675 properties in England that were privately rented,
of which it is estimated, were owned by over 1.25 million private landlords. The
rapid growth of buy-to-let is hugely controversial, especially as only ten
years before that, there were only 1,798,864 properties under private renting
in England. Buy to let landlords have been held responsible for forcing up property
prices and preventing our younger generations from being able to buy. There is
also growing resentment toward the billions of pounds in tax relief (estimated
to be nearly £10 billion) landlords claim on their mortgage interest tax relief
not available to homeowners.
They may be asset rich thanks
to recently rising property values, but let us not make the landlords the warlocks
they could easily be called! They are not quite on a par with the traffic rangers who raise around £1.4 million a year for the Council! Despite all these benefits enjoyed by private
landlords, let us not forget the good they have done, especially in Derby.
Property values today in Derby
are still 11.5% below the 2007 property boom levels (2007 being the peak of
last property boom before everything dropped in 2008/9), yet inflation has
risen by 26% in the same time frame, so in real terms, properties today are
37.5% CHEAPER than they were in
2007. Just think how low they would be without landlords buying all those
rental properties in the city.
Interest rates are at an all
time low and first time buyers only need to save a £6,000 deposit to secure a
lovely 2 bed semi in Chellaston or Oakwood with a 95% mortgage. Forget what the
papers say, first time buyers can
borrow money on a 95% mortgage and, nine times out of ten, it’s cheaper to buy
than rent. So why aren’t people buying?
The number of people choosing
to rent, either for lifestyle or economic reasons, has grown over the last 15
years. I also believe they will continue to grow for some time to come, as does
every report on the subject. In fact I would go as far to predict the number of
rental properties in Derby will have risen from the 15,943 properties recorded in
2011 to 21,800 by 2021. Sound fanciful? Well in 2001, there were only 6,739
privately rented properties in Derby.
It is a fact that we as a
Country are more and more turning into a European model when it comes to
homeownership, where the norm is renting for the first ten years, as opposed to
the norm from the 1960’s to 1990’s, where first time buyers were encouraged to
buy as soon as they left school and got a job.
Tenants, in particular, will also feel the benefit from potential changes in the market. The likelihood of interest rate increases in late 2015, existing economic conditions, combined with the uncertainty of new Government manifestos following the General Election in May will result in low demand for people to buy yet also put a dampening effect on increases in rent. As long as landlords buy the right sort of property, that allows for a reasonable yield, decent capital growth, everyone will be a winner. If want a chat about what would make the best sort a property that would offer that in Derby, then please email me on simonj@professionalproperties.co.uk.
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