Property values in Derby fell
by 0.4% in March. This follows several months of sluggish activity in the Derby
property market in the run up to the Election, putting the average price of a
property in Derby at £170,400, 3.7% higher than in March 2014. Despite the not
so insignificant fall in March, the figures showed property values in Derby
were still higher in the first quarter of 2015 than in the last quarter of 2014.
Interestingly, the Council of
Mortgage Lenders and Estate Agent trade bodies over the last few months have reported
seeing a fall in mortgage lending and enquiries from prospective homebuyers. This
is important because it comes amid an overall fall in housing market activity
in Derby. Data from the Land Registry state that completed house sales in Derby
in the three months to January 2015, (the most up-to-date figures available)
fell by 10.49% (compared to the same three month period up to January 2014).
However, I believe that the
slowdown in property sales in Derby is actually supporting Derby property
values, as there is a shortage of houses coming onto the market. Even though in
the whole of the first Quarter of 2015, Derby property value increases may seem
subdued when compared to 2014, let us remember, property values are still
rising well above the level of inflation.
As I have said many times
before, the population in Derby is growing at a much higher rate than the
number of properties being built. This increasing demand for a roof over
people’s head in Derby, which is outpacing the supply of new houses being built
in Derby, is creating a severe imbalance
in both the Derby and the rest of the UK housing markets, thus making
homeownership an ever increasingly distant dream for many of Derby’s potential
first time buyers.
In fact, I still maintain the
view that house prices are likely to rise by around 3 to 5% in Derby in 2015,
even after taking into account this blip at start of the year. The reason being
is that the rise reflects both strong economic conditions and steady market
conditions with and, this is the most important factor, very low numbers of
properties on the market.
Many Buy to Let landlords know
that investing in the Derby property market is a long term strategy of 10, 20
even 30 years. Governments come and go, but unless the powers that be start to
build thousands of new properties a year to make up for the shocking lack of
supply, we will continue to have problems. Derby people will always want a roof
over their head, and irrespective of which party is in power, if there aren’t
any council houses and they can’t, or are unable to buy, a demand for rental
properties will always remain.
Derby people will always want a roof over their head, They aren’t any council houses.
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I think the slowdown in property sales in Derby is actually supporting Derby property values.
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